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ATTENTION VS. INATTENTION: EVIDENCE FROM THE KENTUCKY TARIFF EXPERIMENT
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  • Abstract: Theoretical and experimental studies have shown that understanding when and why people are attentive and when and why people reason accurately or make systematic mistakes are central questions of the economics of human behavior. We study these questions empirically using a micro-panel data set with repeated observations from more than 2,500 subjects when optional measured tariffs for local telephone calls were introduced in Kentucky in an unanticipated manner. We find that consumers are attentive, tend to underestimate their demand for telephone services and initially make mistakes in their choice of tariffs. Yet, they actively engage in tariff switching in order to reduce the monthly cost of local telephone services despite savings of low magnitude. Households' reactions are not symmetric: those who face a more complex and cognitively more expensive tariff problem learn more slowly and are more likely to make mistakes than households that face a simpler tariff choice problem. Appropriately accounting for the effects of dynamic learning, state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity is critical for determining the underlying model of behavior supported by the data.

  • Co-author: Ignacio Palacios-Huerta (London School of Economics).

  • Publication: Previously circulated as CEPR DP No. 3604.

  • JEL: C23, C25, D83, D90.

  • First version: May 2002.

  • Current version: September 2009.

  • Funding: None.

  • Seminars: University of California - Berkeley; CEMFI.

  • Conferences: 4th CEPR conference on "Applied Industrial Organization," Leuven, 2003; Federal Trade Commission conference on "Behavioral Economics," Washington, 2007; Workshop on "Behavioral Economics and Market Competition," Frankfurt, 2009.

  • Presentations: PDF.

  • Data.